We are 48 hours away from the NBA trade deadline. Deals are being discussed, deals are going to happen, and deals are going to fall through.
Happens every year.
What makes this year different is the new collective bargaining agreement, with harsher luxury tax penalties on the horizon beginning with the 2013-14 season. The luxury tax line is going to act as a hard cap for all but the wealthiest owners – like guys who own gold mines in Siberia.
So expect to hear a lot of financial gobbledygook on Thursday night and Friday morning as NBA executives explain the moves they made.
Until then, it does no harm to look at the NBA landscape and make some educated guesses at trades that could or should happen.
We have five of them for you:
Why it Makes Sense for Brooklyn: They’ve been after Howard for more than two years. They know he still wants to get there. They have more assets that can help the Lakers down the road than any other potential trade partner, and they know it. But they would need the Lakers to make a side deal beforehand – or turn this into a three-team deal – for LA to clear roster space to get down 11 so they could absorb the four NBA players in this deal. They play Brook Lopez as a 4-5 instead of strictly as a center. If they can hang onto Teletovic or Bogdanovic, all the better. They’d prefer to sacrifice future No. 1s.
Why it Makes Sense for the Lakers: They take on no long-term salary beyond 2014, and they go into the summer of 2015 with Steve Nash’s partial guarantee the only number on their books, allowing them to go after LeBron James if/when he becomes a free agent. There will be others, good ones. If they believe they will lose Howard for nothing over the summer, this deal at least allows them to rebuild for the future. Teletovic is a perfect stretch 4 for the Mike D’Antoni system. Taylor can be Nash’s understudy. If they can get Brooklyn to throw in a future No. 1 pick, it makes the deal even more palatable.
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tim says
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Mike says
That Lakers/Nets deal is the most ridiculous trade I’ve seen in quite a while. Whoever thinks that actually has a chance of happening are people who hope it ends up happening.
What are the Lakers even getting out of that? Tyshawn Taylor playing behind Steve Nash? Who cares. What the hell is he going to be? And MarShon Brooks becoming another Jordan Crawford? I mean that trade scenario was so incomprehensible it’s comical.
But yeah, I bet Jim Buss is rushing to the phones so he can acquire that stretch-four Teletovic.
Jon says
Spot on… The thought that the Lakers who next year could be a player or two away from another title run would trade the “No. 1” center in the league for a bunch of parts just good enough to keep you out of the playoffs for years to come is just silly. However, a multiteam multiplayer deal that would include Lopez and maybe Rondo (who Boston seems ready to move) and Brooklyn throwing in draft picks… Maybe something like this: http://espn.go.com/nba/tradeMachine/?tradeId=b98ersq
All three teams seem motivated. None would have to swallow a poison pill to make it happen. All have indicated willingness to move these players. Lakers unload a max contract for to mid level contracts which is more precisely what they have said they want to do rather than what Sheridan seems to think they want. Lakers also still have an amnesty in their back pocket. Use that and resign Earl Clark and next season looks very bright.
Brooklyn gets the man they have been after for two years. Lakers get a happy annulment of Dwight Howard. Boston replaces Ray Allen and makes one more run at a title while Pierce and Garnet still can. Works for me.
Jon says
Sorry… “Lakers unload a max contract for two mid level contracts”
BullySixChicago says
A lot of speculation of these possible trades if one of them happens the author can say he had a great week if nothing happens who gives a sh*t. I am sure teams recieving the guys mention in trades would be happy as heck but Howard to Nets without Lopez wont happen, I dont think the Jazz are that stupid to trade Jefferson for the trash mention by the author, nor do I think the Thunder would trade anybody for will Bynum letalone a high draft pick. Some of these suggested trades will only work in fantasy basketball where someone has a limited amount of basketball knowledge
FredJ says
Chris, the ONLY way the Lakers trade Howard to Brooklyn is with Brook Lopez coming to the Lakers. Anything other scenario is absolutely ridiculous for the Lakers.
MR713 says
I agree.. This trade he made up makes NO SENSE.. He’s be playing with that ESPN Trade Machine a lil too much.
BullySixChicago says
I was with your Hamilton to Houston for the second round draft pick but if you think Reinsdorf, Paxton or Foreman woudl agree to sending Mirotic in a deal you are drinking something other than milk/coffee for breakfast.
Erik Blurr says
Yeah, there’s no way we’re sending Mirotic to Houston unless they’re sending us James Harden back. Just doesn’t make sense.
Ody P. says
Splitter, De Colo, and Lorbek are all key pieces to the Spurs’ rebuilding. Splitter has done great progress in his 2,5 seasons, De Colo has already displayed good playmaking abilities and will find his place in the rotation, Lorbek is a big man with nice post moves, can shoot the three-ball and is a good insurance policy for Tim Duncan’s age. Can’t see the Spurs trading these guys for Jefferson, who may not resign with them. Plus, they need each and any 1st round pick they can have, to further rebuild. Parker was the 28th pick in the draft, Ginobilli was the 57th I think. They will never get a pick near the lottery to draft the next Duncan or Robinson, so they need each and any good youngster they can fish. And their draft picks are usually pretty solid.
Tfence says
Yea, he lost me there. Mirotic has more future value than a 1st IMO, no way they get him.
Gwydion says
I’ve seen this Al Jefferson to the Spurs trade mentioned a number of places and I can’t think the Spurs front office would ever do anything this one-sided. They are a much better team before that trade than after. Jefferson can score, but seriously, he is not capable of playing defense the way the Spurs do. Splitter may not score the way Al does, but he does everything else much better and still looks to be improving. I’d do Blair and de Colo plus filler, but as written, this is a trade that doesn’t work for either team.
Plus, speaking as a longtime Warriors fan, the idea of Stephen Jackson in Utah is laughable and I’m sure the Jazz know that would be a disaster. They’d cut him before the plane took off.
Letters: jkfldsankvczx says
You mean one sided for the Jazz right?
Jefferson is a top 5 Center and one of the few Centers in the league with a back-to-the-basket game. There’s not a single team in the NBA that would take Splitter over Jefferson. And how do you think that Jefferson wouldn’t be able to defend the way the Spurs do? You think that everyone that has been drafted by the Spurs can automatically play great defense? They learned it which is exactly what anyone could do under Pop.
If you think that Splitter for Jefferson is anything but one-sided for Jazz then you’re either a really biased Spurs fan or need to watch basketball more.
Gwydion says
Nah, I’ve just seen enough of Jefferson to know he’s not that good at it. Understand, I’m not saying Splitter is a better center. It’s that the damages this deal does to the Spurs bench should be a huge red flag. Anyway, we’ll see what happens at the deadline. I’d be really surprised to see this go through. More likely they go after him in free agency as a replacement for Duncan.
jerry25 says
Nets like Lopez better than Howard right now.
Nets are busy trying to get Josh Smith.
Not wasting time thinking about Howard, who probably won’t finish out the season.
Dallas says
Eric Maynor and a guaranteed lottery pick for Will Bynum? You realize if Toronto makes playoffs they keep their pick and if the land in lottery (in all but protected top positions) the pick goes to OKC. Maybe you had the pick stuff right, but the way it was worded through me off. Regardless, I don’t see Presti giving up a young player and a lottery pick for Will Bynum.
Bryant T. Jordan says
Chris, in the words of Chris Berman, “Come on man!”
1.) If you think the Laker would trade D12 to the Nets for a package tht doesn’t feature Brook Lopez and/or Deron Williams you are certifiably insane! Perhaps they are also thinking of trading Kobe to the Nets for Joe Johnson and Gerald Wallace … come on man!
If the Lakers deal with the Nets it would be more along the lines of D12, Nash and Duhon for Brook Lopez, Deron Williams and Marshon Brooks or a the very least D12 for Brook, Marshon and Andray Blatche, period..
2.) If you think the Thunder would even cosider trading Mayno AND a lottery pick for Will Bynum you have absolutely lost your marbles my good chap. For goodness sakes the lotto pick is worth far, far more than Wll Bynum!
3.) I actually think you missed the boat on the Thunder. While I agree they may be looking t moe Maynor and may want an upgrade at the backup PG spot, they SHOULD be trying to land a legit post-scorer. I still believe they would have won the Finals last season had they had even one player they could throw the ball in the post to for some easy buckets. This aid, what the Thunder SHOULD be doing is trading Kevin Martin at the Raps pick for Al Jefferson and getting ready to win their first title this season!
Brian says
Are you out of your mind !! U think the nets would trade Lopez AND deron williams, you are clearly un-educated and on some type of heavy drugs
BullySixChicago says
Brian
Lol
SPGCPA says
at this point, if I’m the Nets, I’m not certain I would trade Lopez for Howard straight up…..and at no point would I trade anything more than Lopez for him…..Lakers got Howard for Bynum….this year’s Lopez is a better player than Bynum has ever dreamed of being ….so Lakers are already getting a better player than they traded for Howard in the first place…