21. J.J. Redick (Shooting Guard, Milwaukee Bucks)
One of the top catch-and-shooters in the league and a much improved defensive player, Redick was a hot commodity on the trade market this past season but will soon be known as “the player the Bucks traded Tobias Harris for.” When Redick dies, Magic GM Rob Hennigan will have his head severed, embalmed and mounted on his wall — or kept in a jar on his mantlepiece.
22. Manu Ginobili (Shooting Guard, San Antonio Spurs)
Only a question of what the Spurs will pay him, and whether the amount is fair. Now 35, turned pro as a teenager. “I’ve been doing this for 16 years. At a certain point you want to go home to your people,” the Argentine Olympic gold medalist said during the Finals, when he hinted at retiring. What he is paid will affect what the Spurs can afford to pay Kawhi Leonard when his time comes. He must take a pay cut to stick around.
23. Andray Blatche (Power Forward, Brooklyn Nets)
Secretly wants to be a starter again and may spurn Brooklyn if another team ponies up the cash and a starting role. Still has all of the tools that earned him a three-year, $28 million extension from Washington and still just 26. In other words, he is a very valuable commodity and has starter-type talent. Certainly one of the most interesting free agents to watch.
24. Earl Clark (Power Forward, Los Angeles Lakers)
Still very green and somewhat inconsistent, but the 23 minutes per game he played for the Lakers this past season were by far the most of his career. He turned in 11 double-doubles and showed enough to evoke curiosity—and perhaps high hopes—from some GM looking to roll the dice with his mid-level exception. For what it’s worth, Kobe Bryant himself, who is not impressed by that many, has regularly credited Clark’s work ethic.
25. Kevin Martin (Shooting Guard, Oklahoma City Thunder)
Failed to impress as a member of the Thunder and really hopes to return to OKC. Will not receive much interest on the free agent market, but still one of the top five bench scorers in the league. The biggest consideration is that the Thunder need firepower and probably cannot afford to lose Martin, although they cannot afford to overpay him, either.
26. Gerald Henderson (Shooting Guard, Charlotte Bobcats)
If he played in a bigger market, we would hear much more about him. The Bobcats cannot really afford to let talented young players go, but at 25 and just turning in 15.5 points, 3.7 rebounds and 2.6 assists last season, the best is yet to come. Whether or not Michael Jordan’s team is willing to open the checkbook for Henderson will determine if he leaves.
27. Chris Kaman (Center, Dallas Mavericks)
Since his rather uneventful tenure in New Orleans, Kaman has only sought an opportunity to play meaningful minutes and to play them for a team that had a chance to win. If he is the second center on a team like the Pacers or Bulls, he would pay huge dividends. Remember, centers get paid. Kaman has always gotten paid. He is the caucasian Samuel Dalembert. Five years from now, he is the causasian Nazr Mohammed 2.0 .
28. Tyler Hansbrough [R] (Power Forward, Indiana Pacers)
Will not start over David West in Indianapolis but probably could for a handful of teams that like reckless abandon and a bruising power forward who gets under his opponent’s skin. Every team knows the Pacers can’t afford to dole out max money to West, re-sign George to an extension when he is due, keep Hibbert and pay Hansbrough. What we may have here is an American version of Pekovic/Asik.
29. Corey Brewer (Small Forward, Denver Nuggets)
Much more important to the Nuggets’ 57 wins season than most gave him credit for and has steadily improved offensive game over the past few years. The kind of guy any coach would want on their team, even if unheralded. Exhibit B behind Tony Allen in “Will defenders get paid?” dynamic. Brewer is a decent ballhandler and has been improving his perimeter shooting as well.
30. Chris Andersen (Center, Miami Heat)
Provided size and toughness for the Miami Heat—who needed size and toughness. One of the major catalysts of that 27-game winning streak will eat up most of Miami’s taxpayer exception this summer, but he earned it. Wants to stay in Miami, so he may go against the grain on “centers get paid” argument. But with a title in tow, it would not be terribly surprising to see him end up elsewhere in the $5 million range.
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this is a terrible article and sheridan hoops should know better. Lamar Odom still valuable?????????????????????? He barely knows he is in a basketball game anymore. Did you not watch the clips last year?? He is a joke. Bailed on dallas…quit really….and then turned up out of shape and in need of meds. He was never effective for them. About all you can say is that he’s 6 10 . Kristic??? seriously?? WHy not darko too. Oh and calderon had among his best stats just last season. This is a joke. Comeon……really. I think there are other guys….Jason Maxiell for example, for more valuable……a great rebounder but has been on some pretty bad teams in Detroit, or Mogzov at denver….a kid with a high upside and much better than he has displayed so far and the first to tell you that would be his teammates on the nuggets.
no al jefferson is not a max player. For sure or otherwise. Its always a sign of someone who doesnt know basketball to wildly overrate a stiff like big Al. NO DEFENSE…..perhaps the worst defense in the history of big men in the league. He wont get a max deal, or even close to it. He’ll get paid…because GMs sign people like Bargnani and lamar odom…so they’ll ofens sign anyone in desperation.
How does Ginobili’s salary impact George HIll’s salary?
Blatche doesn’t get any extra money from a bigger deal than Brooklyn can offer- it just helps out the Wizards- and that’s on his mind. Is anyone really crazy enough to give him a longer term deal than Brooklyn will, for significant money? He’s had one good year, in reaction to being amnestied. Let’s see him do that again…
On Ginobili… Should have been Kawhi Leonard. It’s been corrected, Arky. Thanks!
On Blatche, that is only half of the story. Blatche’s new salary will allow the Wizards to “set off” what they owe him, but Blatche himself does stand to earn more with his new deal. GMs pay for bigs who have upside, but we agree, Blatche is a risk.
Jefferson is a max player for sure?
Well, that will certainly be a sign of a GM who cares not for analytics. Jefferson’s deficiencies on defence are well known. The team which expends a max slot on Jefferson is not going to be a contender. I would give a max to Josh Smith before I’d give a max deal to Jefferson, especially if I had a coach I thought could get through to Smith to stop taking long jumpers period.
How on earth can you say that Calderón was “one of the best in the game in assist-to-turnover ratio just a few short years ago”? How about right now? No. 2 in the league in 2012-13. Also No. 5 in assists per 48 minutes.
Nice thorough write-up. Would be nice if you made more clear which FAs are Restricted.
I hope you are correct about CJ Watson being so lowly regarded. Kidd wants an up tempo offense and Watson fits the bill. Nets may be able to split the mMLE in two, between Bojan and Watson, and offer CJ as much as 1.8 M for 3 years.
Regarding Blatche, he is an usual situation, because he is getting about 8 million for next two years from Wiz and any big contract (8-10 M) would be almost cut in half for next 2 years. If he stays 1 year as Lopez’ and KG’s backup, he could get a 25 million 4 year Early Bird contract next summer and be KG’s successor at PF when he retires.