The highlight of a five-game NBA slate, in real life and DFS, is the Warriors going for their 42nd consecutive home victory against James Harden $10600 and the Rockets. Listed as questionable with a hand injury but probable in my book, Harden put up great numbers on Saturday, except for ten turnovers.
When these teams last met on New Year’s Eve in Houston, Stephen Curry $11000 sat out with a leg injury and Klay Thompson $7800 outscored The Beard 38-30. While Draymond Green $9300 is always a triple-double possibility, Curry is trying to win his first scoring title and second MVP; I expect him to take 25+ shots for a third straight game. Andre Igoudala $4400 might surprise if Harrison Barnes $4700 falters.
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The Celtics have lost only once in their last ten while climbing to third in the East. Isaiah Thomas $7700 and Avery Bradley $5600 match up well against Milwaukee’s guards and the Bucks have lost seven of eight. Apart from Greg Monroe $6700, I’m leaning to Boston, especially bench players like Evan Turner $5600 and Tyler Zeller $3800, whose last four games have been excellent. Amir Johnson $4600 could also surprise if he gets more than 21 minutes.
Washington visits the Knicks in another potentially high-scoring affair. John Wall $10000 has been scalding hot lately, Marcin Gortat $6900 has four recent double-doubles and Bradley Beal $6100 is back in form. Carmelo Anthony $8400 and Kristaps Porzingis $7200 have been sharp despite the losses, and new interim coach Kurt Rambis may have a positive impact.
The other two games shape up as defensive battles. Hassan Whiteside $7000 (ankle) is expected to play, Goran Dragic $5400 is in better form than Tony Parker $4800 and 34-year-old Dwyane Wade $6900 has been remarkably healthy. The battle between Chris Bosh $6800 and LaMarcus Aldridge $7100 is a slight edge for the Spurs, and two-way star Kawhi Leonard $7600 might tip the scales. In a disappointing season, Danny Green $4700 might finally be coming around, with 18 triples in his last six.
Only slight underdogs in Dallas, the Jazz have won six in a row, allowing only one opponent to score more than 90 points. The Mavericks beat Memphis in overtime on Saturday thanks to Deron Williams $5700 and Chandler Parsons $6300, but since Derrick Favors $7000 returned, Rudy Gobert $6600 has been even more dominant in the paint. Trey Burke (illness) remains out, so the underrated Raul Neto $3600 is a live bargain.
If you commit to Curry, you can afford three or four midrange guys and will need some bargains to step up. The sample lineup offers some suggestions, subject to change if breaking news affects player values.
Pos | Premium | Midrange | Bargain |
PG | Stephen Curry $11000 | Isaiah Thomas $7700 | Raul Neto $3600 |
SG | James Harden $10600 | Klay Thompson $7800 | Avery Bradley $5600 |
SF | Carmelo Anthony $8400 | Kawhi Leonard $7600 | Andre Igoudala $4400 |
PF | Draymond Green $9300 | LaMarcus Aldridge $7100 | Amir Johnson $4600 |
C | Hassan Whiteside $7000 | Rudy Gobert $6600 | Tyler Zeller $3800 |
The Fantasy Spin features DFS advice every day of the NBA season. Follow Kent Williams @SheridanFantasy for updates.